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April 19, 2024, 12:19:59 AM
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Badmovies.org Forum  |  Movies  |  Bad Movies  |  OT: Experiment, please give your input... « previous next »
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Author Topic: OT: Experiment, please give your input...  (Read 5502 times)
Eirik
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« on: December 02, 2003, 07:58:28 PM »
I work with a statistician who told me today that in any group of 30 people, there is like a 99.999% chance that two of them will have the same birthday (same date, not necessarily year).  He explained the math of it, but I didn't really understand how it brought him to his conclusion.  There are 34 people in our office, so he told me randomly eliminate 4 people and test it out.  The second person I talked to had the same birthday as me!

Please post your birthday and we'll see if there are any duplicates in the first 30 respondants...  Mine is April 3rd.
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Ash
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2003, 08:22:27 PM »
April 19th
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daveblackeye15
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2003, 08:28:32 PM »
July 21.
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FearlessFreep
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2003, 08:29:31 PM »
If I say April 19th are we done?
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Neon Noodle
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« Reply #4 on: December 02, 2003, 10:06:57 PM »
November 12th
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With sorrow, he questioned and lamented the end of all things.
When he finished speaking, he dragged the skull over and, using it for a pillow, lay down to sleep.
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Susan
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« Reply #5 on: December 02, 2003, 10:07:47 PM »
Not sure about that theory. I have 70+ people in my office and we have a birthday list, nobody shares the same birthday
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Scott
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« Reply #6 on: December 02, 2003, 11:40:29 PM »
We do share common birthdays (earthly birth)  with many others on this planet.

World Population - 6,333,599,551

Days in the Year - 365
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Ellie
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« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2003, 12:48:12 AM »
January 17th
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wickednick
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« Reply #8 on: December 03, 2003, 01:01:56 AM »
may 9th
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Smells like popcorn and shame
Cricket21a
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« Reply #9 on: December 03, 2003, 05:04:28 AM »
September 4th
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Neville
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« Reply #10 on: December 03, 2003, 07:54:47 AM »
April 17th. Now if you had been born two days before, ASHTHECAT, the experiment would be over. LOL
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Mr_Vindictive
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« Reply #11 on: December 03, 2003, 08:46:05 AM »
April 29thNeville wrote:
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Nathan Shumate
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« Reply #12 on: December 03, 2003, 09:44:47 AM »
June 24th.
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ulthar
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« Reply #13 on: December 03, 2003, 10:10:22 AM »
Susan wrote:

> Not sure about that theory. I have 70+ people in my office and
> we have a birthday list, nobody shares the same birthday
>

Well, that's the thing about statistics...they make a prediction within some level of confidence.  The prediction that 1 person in 30 will share a birthday is based on "I am sure of this to x.x%," and x can NEVER be 100%.  Obviously, your office lies outside the confidence interval of the prediction.  That does not invalidate his analysis nor his prediction (but he SHOULD state his confidence interval to clarify the reliability of his prediction).
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ulthar
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« Reply #14 on: December 03, 2003, 10:12:33 AM »

15 October
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Bodie:      I've been giving myself shock treatments.
Professor Hathaway: Up the voltage.

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